Housing Market Update: 9% Increase in Pending Home Sales is Slowest Growth Since June 2020

by Tim Ellis | RedFin.Com

Troy Warren for CNT #RealEstate

 

Homes are also taking longer to sell. Still, prices are up 15% from a year ago.

Pending home sales rose 9%, the slowest growth since June 2020, while the actual number of pending sales fell to the lowest level since April 2021. More home sellers have started slashing their prices—another sign of softening seasonal homebuyer demand. Still, prices remain elevated, up 15% from a year earlier.

“The housing market has clearly become slightly more favorable to buyers,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “Homes are taking longer to sell, which gives buyers more time to make thoughtful decisions about whether to make offers. Home prices have plateaued, so buyers shouldn’t feel rushed to buy before prices rise further. And the fact that more sellers are dropping their list price is a sign that sellers have to be realistic about their price expectations.”

Key housing market takeaways for 400+ U.S. metro areas:

Unless otherwise noted, the data in this report covers the four-week period ending August 29. Redfin’s housing market data goes back through 2012.

Data based on homes listed and/or sold during the period:

  • The median home-sale price increased 15% year over year to $359,983.
  • Asking prices of newly listed homes were up 10% from the same time a year ago to a median of $354,665, the lowest level since late April. This was down 1.8% from the all-time high set during the four-week period ending June 27.
  • Pending home sales were up 9% year over year, but down 8% from their 2021 peak hit during the four-week period ending May 30.
  • New listings of homes for sale were nearly flat (-0.1%) from a year earlier. The number of homes being listed is in a typical seasonal decline, down 10% from the 2021 peak reached during the four-week period ending June 27.
  • Active listings (the number of homes listed for sale at any point during the period) fell 22% from 2020. Active listings were up 17% from their 2021 low set during the four-week period ending March 7, but have declined 1% from their 2021 peak hit during the four-week period ending August 8.
  • 48% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within the first two weeks on the market, above the 44% rate of a year earlier, but down 8 percentage points from the 2021 peak set during the four-week period ending March 28.
  • 35% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within one week of hitting the market, up from 32% during the same period a year earlier, but down 8 percentage points from the 2021 peak reached during the four-week period ending March 28.
  • Homes that sold were on the market for a median of 18 days, up from the all-time low of 15 days seen in late June and July, and down from 33 days a year earlier.
  • 51% of homes sold above list price, up from 32% a year earlier. This measure has been falling since the four-week period ending July 11, when it peaked at 55%.
  • On average, 5.1% of homes for sale each week had a price drop, up 1 percentage point from the same time in 2020, and the highest level since the four-week period ending October 13, 2019.
  • The average sale-to-list price ratio, which measures how close homes are selling to their asking prices, decreased to 101.5%. In other words, the average home sold for 1.5% above its asking price. This measure was down 0.7 percentage points from its peak hit during the four-week period ending July 11 and up 2.3 percentage points from a year earlier.

Other leading indicators of homebuying activity:

  • Mortgage purchase applications increased 1% week over week (seasonally adjusted) during the week ending August 27. For the week ending August 26, 30-year mortgage rates increased slightly to 2.87%.
  • From January 1 to August 29, home tours were up 11%, compared to a 37% increase over the same period last year according to home tour technology company ShowingTime.
  • The Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index edged up slightly from the previous week to its highest point since the week ending April 11, and was up 21% from a year earlier during the week ending August 29. The seasonally adjusted Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index is a measure of requests for home tours and other services from Redfin agents.


 

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By troywarren

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